Analysts Revise Price Targets for Key Nvidia Supplier After Earnings Update

the significance of applied materials in the semiconductor supply chain

Applied Materials (AMAT) holds a vital position within the semiconductor supply chain, especially regarding the ongoing AI transformation. The firm is an essential provider of the sophisticated machinery needed for chip manufacturing, which is crucial for advancing high-tech innovations. Operating through three main segments—Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets—Applied Materials has a profound presence in the semiconductor sector.

The Semiconductor Systems segment serves as the foundation of Applied Materials’ operations, achieving .7 billion in net sales for fiscal 2023, which represents a significant 74% of the total revenue. The success of this segment highlights the company’s critical involvement in semiconductor production, which is increasingly demanded as AI and data center computing continue their upward trajectory.

Besides its semiconductor activities, Applied Materials also benefits from its Applied Global Services and Display and Adjacent Markets segments, which contributed 22% and 3% respectively to net sales in fiscal 2023. While these segments offer a varied revenue base, the semiconductor segment remains the main contributor to the company’s financial success.

Among Applied Materials’ largest clients are industry leaders such as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Samsung (SSNLF), and Intel (INTC). In fiscal 2023, Taiwan Semiconductor accounted for 19% of the company’s net sales, while Samsung contributed 15%. Intel, although a key player in the semiconductor landscape, comprised less than 10% of Applied Materials’ net sales.

The role of semiconductors in the AI transformation is paramount. For example, the creation of ChatGPT by OpenAI necessitates tens of thousands of Nvidia (NVDA) chips, illustrating the heightened demand for advanced semiconductors. Taiwan Semiconductor, recognized as the world’s largest independent semiconductor foundry, supplies at least 43% of Nvidia’s chips, as reported by the fintech firm Moomoo. This interdependence among Applied Materials, its clientele, and the larger semiconductor industry positions the company as a significant player in the evolution of AI and technological progress.

investor reactions and analyst insights

In the wake of Applied Materials’ fiscal Q3 results release, market reactions were varied, reflecting both enthusiasm and caution among investors and analysts. Even though the company surpassed earnings expectations with a reported .12 per share against a .03 estimate and a revenue of .78 billion surpassing the .68 billion projection, the stock saw a minor decline, closing down 1.86% at 7.90 on August 16. This drop is largely attributed to concerns over the company’s performance in China, where revenue decreased to .2 million, a notable drop from the previous quarter’s .8 million.

Analysts have reacted to these outcomes with various adjustments to their price targets for Applied Materials. For instance, Morgan Stanley slightly raised its price target from 3 to 4, keeping an equal weight rating. The firm recognized the strong overall performance but also pointed out the dip in sales from China as a possible challenge. The analyst remarked that despite this, the company’s figures remained robust, particularly due to strength in the foundry and logic sectors.

Harlan Sur from JPMorgan adopted a more positive viewpoint, increasing the price target from 0 to 0 while retaining an overweight rating. Sur emphasized the “solid July quarter results driven by rising demand” and expressed confidence in Applied Materials’ capacity to leverage forthcoming technological advancements, especially in AI and data center computing. This optimism is bolstered by the company’s guidance for the current quarter, which anticipates revenue of .93 billion, representing a 3% year-over-year increase at the midpoint.

On the other hand, Wells Fargo took a more cautious stance, lowering its price target from 0 to 0, though still maintaining an overweight rating. The analyst expressed worries that the company’s guidance for the upcoming October quarter fell slightly short of expectations, which may have contributed to the post-earnings stock decline. Nonetheless, the analyst acknowledged the company’s strong position within the semiconductor sector and its prospects for long-term growth as AI and data center demands continue on an upward trend.

Although Applied Materials has demonstrated strong recent performance, the mixed analyst responses underscore the complexities and uncertainties facing the company, particularly with respect to its exposure to the Chinese market and the cyclical characteristics of the broader semiconductor industry. As the AI transformation continues to develop, Applied Materials’ capability to navigate these challenges and seize emerging opportunities will be closely monitored by both investors and analysts.